The 145th running of the Kentucky Derby is scheduled for Saturday, May 4 at Churchill Downs in Louisville, Kentucky.
We are just a bit over a week apart in the big race.
For everything you will need to know about betting this race, check out my Kentucky Derby Betting Guide. I will also have my win/place/show selections posted soon in my Kentucky Derby Predictions article.Ever wonder how much money is bet on the Derby? You could be amazed by how much activity this event brings in. Find out how much cash is wagered in my year-by-year gambling stinks article.
Look at the Vegas Odds to Win the 2019 Kentucky Derby
Before we get into the odds, I want have a second to simply speak about how this race has been trending. For the longest time there was a huge amount of unpredictability in this race.
The gambling favorite has won 18 of their previous 52, which will be a win rate of 34.6%. However, before 2013 the win rate was still sitting at 26.1%. Going to the 2019 race, the betting favorite has won each of the last six Kentucky Derby’s.
Has the most well-known horse racing event of the year missing its unpredictability? Maybe. The run of favorites dominating this race coincided with the change in the way in which the area was determined.
Formerly the 20 spots moved to the horses that had the maximum winnings in graded stakes races. Beginning in 2013, the area had been based on a new points system, where points were awarded according to a horses operation in select races.
The concept is that the new points system does a much better job of getting the top horses in the field to get the 1??1/4 mile trail. Before the points system, horses who snore in sprints (races less than one mile) were qualifying for the Derby.
These horses, who had zero chance of winning a race of this length, would head out and set ridiculous paces. Your best horses (betting favorites) would wind up attempting to keep up with those sprinters and could run out of gas, which allowed some of your long shots to win.
2019 Top ContendersWhen we first looked at the chances for the 2019 Kentucky Derby (a little over a week ago), Game Winner and Roadster were tied to the best odds at 5/1. While both of these are still regarded as top contenders, they’re no more the horse(s) to beat.
The sharps have made Omaha Beach the odds on favorite in 3/1, which is right around the very same odds as the past year’s Derby winner Justify. For those wondering, Omaha Beach was recorded with the 3rd best odds when we last checked at 6/1.
Getting back into the odds at right now, Roadster has the second best chances at 9/2 (+450), just slightly before Game Winner in 5/1, Improbable at 6/1, Tacitus in 8/1 and Maximum Security at 10/1.
You then have just a small bit of a difference before we reach are group of contenders. Starting with Code of Honor at 14/1, followed by War of Will at 16/1, By My Standards at 18/1 and Vekoma in 18/1.
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