Kyle Busch, Kevin Harvick, Martin Truex Jr. and Joey Logano will race for the 2018 Monster Energy NASCAR Cup Series championship Sunday in Homestead-Miami Speedway (Green flag: 3:03 p.m. ET, NBC).
In accordance with gambling odds from Westgate Las Vegas SuperBook, Busch and Harvick are the favorites in +200, followed by Truex (+275) and Logano (+450).
Using 2018 loop data and historic benefits, we handicap the race and also give a championship pick.
Following 35 races, Kyle Busch, Kevin Harvick, Martin Truex Jr. and Joey Logano have earned the right to battle for the 2018 Dragon Energy NASCAR Cup Series (MENCS) championship Sunday in Homestead-Miami Speedway.
Busch (2015),” Harvick (2014) and Truex (2017) have notched one championship in their professions, while Logano is trying to secure his original.
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It is not surprise to see Busch, Harvick and Truex still living, as”The Big Three” combined to win 20 of the 35 regular-season races this past year. Logano scored two wins himself, but awakened 25 top-10 endings to make his shot.
Using historic loop data from FantasyRacingCheatSheet.com, let us break down the contenders to ascertain the best bet to win the 2018 Monster Energy NASCAR Cup Series championship.
Even though Homestead-Miami joins a few other MENCS monitors at 1.5 miles in length, there actually are not any others on the circuit like it.
Homestead delivers banking, which allows drivers to run lines, together with the lane frequently the quickest.
The track surface is also very abrasive, which makes rubber a massive benefit and wears out tires.
With tire wear creating cars challenging to drive and innovative banking allowing drivers to select unique lines, passing is easier here than most other 1.5-mile paths which are overly reliant on aero for pace and so make follow-the-leader racing.
For the analysis below, I decided to analyze the previous four races at Hometead-Miami Speedway.
Using four races may seem a bit arbitrary, but that amount was chose on by me for two particular reasons. 2014 was the year that NASCAR went into the current playoff format where drivers advance through the playoff of the sport until four stay to race for the title at Homestead.